Benchmarking LLMs for Community Governance Simulation with Life-history Narratives

arXiv:2605.23783v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Effective community governance hinges on understanding what specific residents think and need. Recent work has used large language models (LLMs) to simulate human respondents, offering a scalable, reproducible way to study human attitudes and behaviors at low cost. However, these studies typically prompt the model with just a few demographic variables (age, gender, income), simulating only general role types. This is insufficient for community governance, where decisions depend on the views of specific residents. We bridge this gap with an integrated research framework covering dataset, benchmark, algorithm, and system. The dataset comprises approximately 1.2 million characters of first-person narrative collected through two-hour semi-structured interviews with each of 92 residents in an urban community, organized around nine community-governance domains. The benchmark probes 18 mainstream LLMs across four prompting strategies and shows that adding rich life-history profiles meaningfully raises fidelity above the no-profile baseline, but this gain comes with more input tokens per call from the longer prompts they require. The algorithm, curriculum-LoRA, is a parameter-efficient personalization framework that, by closing this fidelity-cost gap, matches the strongest baseline's fidelity at roughly 10x lower per-call cost and Pareto-dominates every configuration tested. The system integrates curriculum-LoRA into a closed-loop policy-evaluation pipeline. Together, these results bring individual-level LLM-based resident simulation within reach of resource-constrained local administrations, enabling community-governance decisions to be systematically pre-evaluated in silico before real-world deployment.