Achim Zeileis
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2026 World Cup: Spain in the lead, but title race remains wide open
Ahead of major soccer tournaments, a research team led by Achim Zeileis of the University of Innsbruck and Andreas Groll of TU Dortmund University calculates the chances of winning for all participating teams. For the 2026 World Cup in Canada, Mexico, and the United States, their model identifies Spain as the slight favorite with 14.5%. Closely behind are England (12.4%), France (12.4%), and Germany (11.2%).
Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Bold prediction stuns football fans
For years, football fans have tried all sorts of ways to predict World Cup winners. Some trusted expert opinions, others believed in superstitions, and many still remember Paul the Octopus, who became famous for correctly predicting match results during the 2010 World Cup. Now, a group of statisticians has used artificial intelligence to make its prediction for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.