ForecastCompass
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Related Articles from SNS
ForecastCompass: Guiding Agentic Forecasting with Adaptive Factor Memory
Announce Type: new Abstract: Agentic forecasting is important for decision-making in dynamic environments, but it remains challenging because agents must reason from incomplete, time-limited evidence and produce calibrated probabilities before outcomes are resolved. Memory provides a natural mechanism for transferring experience from resolved forecasts to future prediction tasks. However, existing agent-memory methods are not tailored to forecasting, as they typically store past...