June Economic Outlook
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OECD warns of global slowdown as U.S.-Iran war stymies economic growth prospects
The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development has slashed its global growth outlook, warning that the economic damage from the U.S.-Iran war could dramatically worsen unless a durable peace settlement is reached quickly. In its June Economic Outlook, the OECD said global growth is now expected to slow from 3.4% in 2025 to 2.8% in 2026, before recovering to 3.1% in 2027 — should the current energy price shock start easing by the middle of this year. But that's assuming a...
Fitch trims India's growth forecast to 6.4% as Middle East turmoil clouds outlook
This financial year, India’s economic numbers might lose some points to the ongoing Middle East chaos. The conflict has dented consumer spending, as households are feeling the pinch of rising costs. Global analytics firm Fitch Ratings on Tuesday cut its FY27 GDP forecast for the country to 6.4% from 6.7% projected earlier.
Japan's Q1 capex growth stalls as Iran war weighs, raising GDP downgrade risk
Japan's Q1 capex growth stalls as Iran war weighs, raising GDP downgrade risk TOKYO, June 1 : Japanese companies' pace of annual spending on plant and equipment stalled in the first quarter after a year of strong expansion, likely prompting a downgrade to economic growth as concerns mount over the impact of the Middle East conflict. The Iran war has upended the global economic outlook, leaving oil-import-dependent Japan heavily exposed to the energy shock rippling across businesses and...
How have countries around the world responded to the US-Israel war on Iran?
How have countries around the world responded to the US-Israel war on Iran? The war, which has entered its 100th day, has upended global financial and energy markets, drawing concerns from world leaders. Sunday marks 100 days since the United States and Israel launched war on Iran – a conflict that has triggered a global energy crisis and darkened the global economic outlook.
100 days of Iran war: Gulf states grapple with security and economic consequences
Iran war at 100 days: Gulf states grapple with stability June 4, 2026For the regional Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states — Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) — the consequences of the US-Israeli conflict with Iran extend far beyond immediate military threat. Since February 28, when the US and Israel launched joint strikes on Iran, and despite a nominal ceasefire, the GCC countries, have been performing a difficult balancing act. Key...
Inflation hits 3.2%, highest since 2023: Are ECB rate hikes inevitable?
Eurozone inflation rose to 3.2% in May, the highest since 2023, driven by energy and services. Markets now see an ECB rate hike next week as done deal. Price pressures across the euro area accelerated again in May, as the disruptions from the Strait of Hormuz blockade continued to ripple through energy markets, pushing inflation to its highest level in almost three years and cementing expectations of an imminent European Central Bank rate hike.
Middle East: US and Iran trade fire amid stalled talks
Middle East: US and Iran trade fire amid stalled talks Published June 3, 2026last updated June 3, 2026What you need to know - US military said it carried out strikes on Iran's Qeshm Island "in response to attempted attacks by Iran" - US military also said Iranian missiles fired toward Bahrain and Kuwait had "failed to hit their intended target" - Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards said they fired at US military installations in response to the US strikes on Qeshm Island in the Strait of...
Fresh concerns emerge over impact of Labor's tax changes on medical tech
Medical technology sector raises fresh concerns with Labor’s capital gains tax overhaul Sat 6 Jun 2026 at 4:44am In short: Australia's medical technology sector says Labor's budget changes will make it harder for local startups to commercialise new products. Industry groups say planned changes to research and development tax incentives will specifically hurt the health sector where companies often take more than a decade to become profitable. What's next: Labor is pressing ahead with its...
Israel, Lebanon renew ceasefire after US-brokered talks
Israel, Lebanon renew ceasefire after US-brokered talks Published June 3, 2026last updated June 4, 2026What you need to know - Israel and Lebanon agree to renew their ceasefire after talks at US State Department - Iran has been insisting that hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon must also end before a deal can be reached with the US - Earlier on Wednesday, the US military carried out strikes on Iran's Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz "in response to attempted attacks by...
Traders on Kalshi indicate that May's jobs report will top Wall Street expectations
Traders on Kalshi expect that job creation in May will see a slowdown but still surpass Dow Jones consensus. Dow Jones estimates that May's nonfarm payrolls report — due Friday from the Bureau of Labor Statistics — will show a gain of 90,000 jobs. The consensus reflects an anticipated decline from April's recorded 115,000 nonfarm payrolls and March's 185,000, the highest this year has seen so far.