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Stable Geometry, Reversing Poles: The Bipolar Structure of AI Occupational Substitutability and Its Decade-Scale Inversion
arXiv:2606.07939v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Empirical research on the labor-market impact of artificial intelligence has converged, since Frey and Osborne (2017), on a continuous-gradient representation in which each occupation is assigned a real-valued exposure score on [0,1] obtained by linear aggregation across capability dimensions. This continuity is rarely articulated as an assumption and has not been tested at the micro-action level where substitution actually occurs. We decompose...