Martingale-Driven Fisher
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Technical note on Sequential Test-Time Adaptation via Martingale-Driven Fisher Prompting
Announce Type: replace Abstract: We present a theoretical framework for M-FISHER, a method for sequential distribution shift detection and stable adaptation in streaming data. For detection, we construct an exponential martingale from non-conformity scores and apply Ville's inequality to obtain time-uniform guarantees on false alarm control, ensuring statistical validity at any stopping time. Under sustained shifts, we further bound the expected detection delay as...