Momentum-Corrected Online Stacking Ensemble
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Kalimati Vegetable Price Index Forecasting with a Momentum Corrected Online Stacking Ensemble
arXiv:2605.30720v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Forecasting agricultural commodity prices in emerging economies is difficult due to high volatility, frequent supply disruptions, and strong cultural influences on demand. This study introduces the Kalimati Vegetable Price Index (KVPI), a new inverse-volatility weighted composite index that aggregates 135 daily wholesale commodities from Kathmandu over ten years (2013-2023). By creating a stable macro-level signal, the KVPI reduces the noise...