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Ornstein-Uhlenbeck

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Detecting Cyber Attacks in Power System AGC Using a Drifted Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process

arXiv:2606.02075v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The Automatic Generation Control (AGC) system, reliant on real-time measurements over communication networks, is susceptible to stealthy false data injection attacks (FDIAs), risking equipment damage and economic losses. We propose a robust FDIA detection method using maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of a drifted multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process.

arXiv CS 8d ago

Logarithmic Sobolev inequality and hypercontractivity for the Navier-Stokes Fokker-Planck operator

Announce Type: cross Abstract: The stochastic incompressible Navier-Stokes equations on $\TT^3$, completed by the fluctuation-dissipation noise, have a Fokker-Planck generator that decomposes into a self-adjoint Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (dissipative) part and an antisymmetric (convective) part. We prove two results about this generator. First, the logarithmic Sobolev inequality holds with the same optimal constant as the pure Ornstein-Uhlenbeck operator, $c_\mathrm{LSI} = \nu\lambda_1$ (where...

arXiv Physics 7d ago

The Information Content of Quasar Variability Light Curves: How Well Can we Infer Stochastic Model Parameters?

arXiv:2606.01496v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Quasar variability, driven by multi-scale physical processing within a relativistic accretion disk, is commonly modelled with stochastic time series models. The simplest of these is the Damped Random Walk (DRW), also known as the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process. Here, we demonstrate that, when fitting such a model to quasar light curve data, the mean of the light curve, $\mu$, should not be fixed (which is the typical approach), as this leads...

arXiv Physics 8d ago

TT-DAC-PS: Twin-Target Deterministic Actor-Critic with Policy Smoothing for Optimal Trade Execution

arXiv:2606.08379v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This study addresses the optimal execution of large stock sell programs by introducing TT-DAC-PS (Twin-Target Deterministic Actor-Critic with Policy Smoothing), a deterministic actor-critic architecture that combines twin exponential-moving-average critic targets with pessimistic min backup, TD3-style target policy smoothing noise, delayed actor updates, and conservative Q regularisation to curb overestimation. Exploration uses...

arXiv CS 1d ago

How Accurately Can a Gaussian Approximate Stochastic Approximation Iterates?

arXiv:2602.13906v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Stochastic approximation (SA) is a method for finding the root of an operator perturbed by noise. The focus of this paper is studying the distribution of SA iterates in finite time. In general, it is not possible to characterize the exact distribution, and therefore our goal is to find an approximation which can yield useful tail bounds.

arXiv CS 8d ago

Towards Causal Market Simulators

arXiv:2511.04469v4 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Market generators using deep generative models have shown promise for synthetic financial data generation, but existing approaches lack causal reasoning capabilities essential for counterfactual analysis and risk assessment. We propose a Time-series Neural Causal Model VAE (TNCM-VAE) that combines variational autoencoders with structural causal models to generate counterfactual financial time series while preserving both temporal dependencies...

arXiv Physics 7d ago