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A Rolling-Window Framework for Churn Prediction and Behavioral Driver Identification

arXiv:2606.06776v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Customer churn prediction is a central task in customer analytics, particularly in non-contractual, pay-per-use service environments where disengagement is not explicitly observed and must be inferred from behavioral inactivity. Existing churn prediction approaches often rely on simplified temporal assumptions or single-point representations of customer behavior, which limit their ability to support continuous risk assessment, interpretability,...

arXiv CS 2d ago

The Taiwan crisis nobody is watching

analysis The Taiwan crisis no-one saw coming, and it has nothing to do with war Tue 9 Jun 2026 at 5:00am The Taiwan Strait's next crisis may not arrive with warships or missile tests.

ABC Australia 1d ago

SEAM: Shortcut-Aware Real-Time Detection of Scripted vs. Spontaneous Speech for Interview Guardrails

arXiv:2606.06837v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Scripted vs spontaneous speech detection is appealing for interview guardrails, but benchmark performance can be inflated by shortcuts tied to corpus identity, channel conditions, and recording artifacts rather than speaking style itself. We present SEAM, a shortcut-aware framework for real-time scriptedness detection that combines uniform preprocessing, seam-aware sampling, non-speech augmentation, and a compact DistilHuBERT backbone. With...

arXiv CS 2d ago

idSCD: Identifying Training Datasets through Semantic Correlation Descriptors

Announce Type: new Abstract: Can a dataset be recognized from the spurious correlations it induces during training? We argue that datasets leave dataset-specific traces in a model's learned semantic correlation structure: incidental regularities that are predictive within a dataset, but not causal for the underlying task, can be internalized during training. We use this insight to study dataset-level membership inference, moving beyond existing methods that rely on behavioral or...

arXiv CS 9d ago

CLSP-REQA: A Real-Time Quality-Aware Closed-Loop Seizure Prediction Framework with Mamba-BiLSTM and Confidence-Gated Intervention

arXiv:2606.00074v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Reliable seizure prediction is a prerequisite for closed-loop neurostimulation therapy, yet existing methods rarely account for the variability in EEG signal quality encountered in real-world deployment, and the overwhelming majority adopt non-strict evaluation protocols that overestimate generalisation performance. We propose CLSP-REQA (Closed-Loop Seizure Prediction with Real-time EEG Quality Assessment), a unified framework that embeds a...

arXiv CS 8d ago

Reliable Multilingual Orthopedic Decision Support from Clinical Narratives: Language-Aware Adaptation and Verification-Guided Deferral

arXiv:2605.31512v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multilingual orthopedic decision support remains challenging in low-resource healthcare settings, where clinical narratives contain specialized terminology, mixed scripts, incomplete evidence, label imbalance and language-dependent documentation patterns. This article presents a reliability-oriented framework for classifying free-text orthopedic notes in English, Hindi and Punjabi. We compare task-aligned multilingual transformer encoders, a...

arXiv CS 9d ago

When RLHF Fails: A Mechanistic Taxonomy of Reward Hacking, Collapse, and Evaluator Gaming

arXiv:2606.03238v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF) makes large-scale post-training possible by replacing an underspecified human objective with learned and scalable proxies. The same substitution creates a structured failure surface: optimization can raise the learned reward while external quality falls, degrade both proxy and judge scores, reveal proxy under-alignment, or produce evaluator-specific disagreement. We present an empirical...

arXiv CS 7d ago

Explainable Forecasting of Scientific Breakthroughs from Concept Network Dynamics

arXiv:2606.03864v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We introduce an explainable machine-learning approach that forecasts the structural precursors of scientific breakthroughs -- the emergence and intensification of links between research concepts -- by modelling how OpenAlex concept networks evolve over time. Using 59 semantic and topological features, a two-stage LightGBM model jointly predicts the formation and the future weight of concept pairs, adding a regression stage that quantifies...

arXiv CS 7d ago

Auditable Climate Risk Intelligence from Fragmented ESG Data: Deterministic Orchestration and Imbalance-Aware Learning for Scope 1-3 Validation

Announce Type: new Abstract: ESG and climate risk data remain fragmented across heterogeneous Scope 1, Scope 2, and Scope 3 reporting environments, while conventional validation pipelines lack provenance aware auditability, hidden drift detection, and reproducibility oriented governance. This paper proposes a deterministic climate risk intelligence framework integrating single source of truth orchestration, temporal anomaly detection, imbalance aware ensemble learning, and explainability...

arXiv CS 7d ago