Environment
Deep learning reveals a stronger fossil fuel influence than biomass burning in shaping remote tropospheric ozone
Key Points
arXiv:2606.09793v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Tropospheric ozone (O3) is a key greenhouse gas and atmospheric oxidant, yet its sources in the remote troposphere remain strongly debated. Observation-based tracer analyses suggest that O3 attributed to biomass burning is much greater than that from fossil fuel sources (by a factor of ~2-10), contradicting state-of-the-art global models. Here we show that this discrepancy primarily arises from the strong sensitivity of tracer methods to...
arXiv:2606.09793v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Tropospheric ozone (O3) is a key greenhouse gas and atmospheric oxidant, yet its sources in the remote troposphere remain strongly debated. Observation-based tracer analyses suggest that O3 attributed to biomass burning is much greater than that from fossil fuel sources (by a factor of ~2-10), contradicting state-of-the-art global models. Here we show that this discrepancy primarily arises from the strong sensitivity of tracer methods to differences in tracer lifetimes, especially after extended transport to the remote regions. To resolve this discrepancy, we develop a deep learning (DL) framework that synthesizes global observations and chemical transport model simulations. The DL approach accurately infers source contributions and reveals that fossil fuel emissions contribute over three times more O3 to the remote troposphere than biomass burning. Our findings underscore that phasing out fossil fuels remains the most powerful lever for mitigating remote tropospheric ozone.