AD FEATURE: Who comes next after Starmer? The politicians Smarkets’ prediction markets suggest could take over

Following Keir Starmer’s resignation as Prime Minister, attention has immediately turned to the future of Labour leadership and who could shape the next chapter of UK politics. This article will use insights from Smarkets’ political prediction markets to explore the leading contenders for the next Prime Minister, Labour leader and key Cabinet positions. The piece will position Smarkets as a leading prediction market platform, providing fast-moving, real-time insights into political expectations as events develop. Smarkets’ prediction markets offer a live view of how market participants assess future political outcomes. As the Labour leadership contest begins, Smarkets provides insight into the frontrunners to replace Starmer, how and where the sentiment is shifting during the contest plus which politicians are gaining momentum. Unlike traditional polling, prediction markets continuously update as participants respond to new information, political developments and changing expectations. Sign up with code COMMFREE for 0% commission for 60 days with Smarkets Who Will Replace Starmer? It is no secret who many are expecting to take over the reins at Number 10 next month is none other than newly-elected Andy Burnham. The former Greater Manchester Mayor was duly elected the new MP for Makerfield last week with a convincing majority before he was sworn in yesterday after Sir Keir's resignation speech. Smarkets currently have the former Leigh MP at 97.1% to replace Starmer and begin a Premiership of his own with the nearest competitor priced up at just 1.3% in Alistair Carns. The former Marine and now Birmingham Selly Oak MP has been an MP for only two years and it is thought the 46-year-old maybe the only competitor to Burnham to ignite a leadership contest. Labour's Leadership Race The Labour Leadership contest will be next on the agenda for the future of the party and the current government too. They have to be an MP - that one is a given - and must reach one of a number of criteria to make themselves a viable candidate for the leadership. Typically, this is 20% of Labour MPs supporting the nomination and either be nominated by at least 5% of constituency parties or at least three affiliates representing a minimum of 5% of the affiliated membership (two of these have to be trade unions). So who is in the lead? Andy Burnham of course with a 98% rating at the time of writing with the Evertonian set to be the only nominee unless a drastic change in direction amongst the party sees a worthy challenger come forward. Smarkets has Angela Rayner priced at 1.3% to make a dramatic return to the frontbenches but was as high as 14.7% in the last month for the former deputy prime minister. The Cabinet Domino Effect New premiership means new cabinet but one job has been particularly discussed and scrutinised at length - the Chancellor of the Exchequer. Rachel Reeves time at Number 11 has been far from an easy one after inheriting an economy with very tricky and delicate conditions, she was tasked to recover and in some cases has done that, but not without losing support. A number of U-turns, upsetting farmers and changes to ISAs have put her in a very unpopular decision and could well be expected to leave but who will be replacing her? Well Smarkets is pretty consistent with reports that Burnham is thinking about one of three candidates: Wes Streeting, Ed Miliband and Shabana Mahmood. Right now, it is the former health secretary leading the way at 52.9% to takeover from Reeves while former Labour Leader Miliband is 25% and Mahmood is 19.6% to take over. Interestingly, other suitors such as Yvette Cooper - believed to be the preferred choice amongst key figures in the private sector - is 13% despite reports Burnham does not have her in the his plans to take control of the government's budget. Data sourced from Smarkets political prediction markets. Market prices reflect current market sentiment and are subject to change. They should not be interpreted as a guarantee of future outcomes. T&C’s apply. Please trade responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org. Gamble responsibly Reach plc is committed to promoting safer gambling. All of our content and recommended bets are advised to those aged 18 or over. Odds are subject to change too. We strongly encourage our readers to only ever bet what they can afford to lose. For more information, please call the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 or visit gambleaware.org. [Image text:] Smal UK POLITICs Trade Sports,Current Affairs &More TRADEHERE GambleAware