Business & Finance
Prediction Markets Emerge in Japan, With Shopping Vouchers
Key Points
Prediction Markets Emerge in Japan, With Shopping Vouchers Homegrown platforms, banned from real-money gambling, are tapping the country’s loyalty-point culture to build an alternative to Polymarket. Even as prediction platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi surged into the global mainstream in recent years, Japan — like its Asian neighbors China and South Korea — remained a no-go zone due to strict anti-gambling regulations. That may be starting to change, thanks to enterprising new startups...
Prediction Markets Emerge in Japan, With Shopping Vouchers
Homegrown platforms, banned from real-money gambling, are tapping the country’s loyalty-point culture to build an alternative to Polymarket.
Even as prediction platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi surged into the global mainstream in recent years, Japan — like its Asian neighbors China and South Korea — remained a no-go zone due to strict anti-gambling regulations. That may be starting to change, thanks to enterprising new startups that are finding ways to skirt regulations.
Leading the charge are homegrown platforms launched by Gen Z entrepreneurs. Spearheaded by seven-month-old Miraima, the apps allow users to wager on real-world events and win points that can be converted into monetary rewards such as gift cards — an indirect payout system that’s similar to the workaround employed by pachinko, the country’s $100 billion pinball gaming industry, to remain legal.
“It’s a bit addictive,” said Ryoga Kamei, an IT engineer in his twenties who says he’s earned more than 10,000 yen a month in points on Miraima and similar apps. A soccer fan, he mostly bets on sports matches. “I find myself opening the apps whenever I have a spare moment, or when there’s news that might move the odds,” he said.
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