Not All Matches Are Equally Valuable: An Online Experiment of Retention-Focused Recommendation in a Job-Matching Platform

arXiv:2609.01652v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Recommender systems in two-sided matching platforms are commonly optimized for immediate engagement signals such as click-through rate, reply rate, or the total number of successful matches. However, in real-world marketplaces, maximizing matches alone may be misaligned with business goals such as user churn rate and platform revenue, especially when users with fewer matches are at substantially higher risk of churn. In this paper, we study a real job matching platform and show that users with very few recent matches are indeed much more likely to leave the platform, while additional matches for already successful users provide limited marginal value for retention. Motivated by this empirical finding, we formulate a retention-aware recommendation problem and implement a simple post-processing method that adjusts the baseline match-focused ranking to prevent user churn. Specifically, the implemented method gives a score boost to churn-risk users with the goal of increasing their likelihood of obtaining matches and improving retention. We evaluate this practical approach in an online experiment on a real job-matching platform. The treatment group showed directionally lower user churn than the control group, although the estimated effect was not statistically significant at conventional levels, while company-side churn showed no evidence of deterioration. To our knowledge, this is among the first online experimental studies to investigate retention-focused recommendation in a real reciprocal job-matching platform.