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Can the chancellor deliver growth without breaking his own self-imposed fiscal rules?
John Healey will set out his vision for the economy this morning, but with pressure mounting on the public finances, Sam Coates and Anne McElvoy ask whether he is preparing to stretch the rules to make it happen.
Amid an increasingly turbulent economic backdrop, the duo examine the warning lights beginning to flash – from the rising cost of borrowing to the instability of mortgage rates – and what it could mean for households and the government’s room for manoeuvre.
Plus, as the AfD clinch victory in a German state election, Anne gives her take on where it all goes next.