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Short-Term Treasuries Emerge as Popular Bet on Fed Inflation Win

Bloomberg Markets Sunday 20 September 2026, 19:00 UTC By Michael MacKenzie and Ye Xie 1 min read
Key Points

Bonds Short-Term Treasuries Emerge as Popular Bet on Fed Inflation Win Investors in the US Treasury market are shifting their focus to owning shorter-dated government bonds, a bet that the Federal Reserve will eventually emerge victorious in its fight against inflation. Two-year yields have soared to a multi-year high of around 4.75% in the days following the Fed’s first rate increase since 2023, the latest leg of a selloff in the underlying bonds. Futures are pricing in another 80 basis...

Bonds Short-Term Treasuries Emerge as Popular Bet on Fed Inflation Win Investors in the US Treasury market are shifting their focus to owning shorter-dated government bonds, a bet that the Federal Reserve will eventually emerge victorious in its fight against inflation. Two-year yields have soared to a multi-year high of around 4.75% in the days following the Fed’s first rate increase since 2023, the latest leg of a selloff in the underlying bonds. Futures are pricing in another 80 basis points of monetary policy tightening in the coming year, evidence that Chairman Kevin Warsh’s vow to go all out in the battle against inflation is gaining credibility with traders.
Popular Bet (ORG) Fed (ORG) US (LOCATION) the Federal Reserve (ORG) Kevin Warsh (PERSON)
Originally published by Bloomberg Markets Read original →

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