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Bearish Bond Narrative Has Gone Too Far, Deutsche Bank Says
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Bearish Bond Narrative Has Gone Too Far, Deutsche Bank Says The swing to deeply-negative sentiment on fixed-income assets this year has gone too far, with the market underpricing the risk of an artificial-intelligence blowup that triggers a rush into bonds, according to Deutsche Bank AG’s George Saravelos. Client meetings in the US displayed concerns that AI is a “big driver of higher yields and the US Treasury has lost control of the long-end,” Saravelos, global head of FX research, said in...
Bearish Bond Narrative Has Gone Too Far, Deutsche Bank Says
The swing to deeply-negative sentiment on fixed-income assets this year has gone too far, with the market underpricing the risk of an artificial-intelligence blowup that triggers a rush into bonds, according to Deutsche Bank AG’s George Saravelos.
Client meetings in the US displayed concerns that AI is a “big driver of higher yields and the US Treasury has lost control of the long-end,” Saravelos, global head of FX research, said in a note Friday. These factors have fanned investor speculation of a coming suspension in 20-year Treasury issuance, while clients were “overwhelmingly bearish” on French debt after a turbulent selloff there, he added.