Iran War Unexpectedly Drove Down Carbon Emissions This Year

New York Times Tuesday 10 November 2026, 01:01 UTC By Brad Plumer 1 min read

Key Points

Researchers believe the dip may be only temporary — if the war with Iran ends and the Strait of Hormuz reopens, oil and gas demand could easily bounce back.

Iran War (EVENT) Iran (LOCATION) the Strait of Hormuz (LOCATION)

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Iran war helps fuel global drop in fossil fuel emissions — but there’s a catch

Iran war helps fuel global drop in fossil fuel emissions — but there’s a catch In the run-up to the COP31 U.N. climate change conference, scientists have revealed that global carbon emissions from fossil fuels are projected to drop by 0.4% this year, driven by growth in installed wind and solar power capacity, as well as oil price hikes caused by the Iran conflict. But climate goals are still unlikely to be met. The world's carbon emissions from oil, gas and coal are projected to decrease by...

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