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Learning Power Flow with Confidence: A Probabilistic Guarantee Framework for Voltage Risk

arXiv:2308.07867v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The absence of formal performance guarantees in machine learning (ML) has limited its adoption for safety-critical power system applications, where confidence and interpretability are as vital as accuracy. In this work, we present a probabilistic guarantee for power flow learning and voltage risk estimation, derived through the framework of Gaussian Process (GP) regression. Specifically, we establish a bound on the expected estimation error...

arXiv CS 8d ago