Diebold-Mariano
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Bitcoin Price Prediction: Peer-Reviewed Evidence and Social Media Discourse
Announce Type: cross Abstract: Bitcoin price prediction has attracted hundreds of academic papers and continuous social media debate, yet the field lacks consensus on even basic questions: can any model beat a naive "today's price" baseline at horizons of one to six months? We survey the peer-reviewed landscape, categorize papers by evaluation methodology, and contrast academic findings with informal but substantive discourse on X/Twitter. The picture that emerges is sobering.