Minimum Trace (MinT
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Hierarchical Forecast Reconciliation for Urban Rail Transit Demand Prediction under Operational Disruptions
Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate and coherent passenger demand forecasting is essential for Urban Rail Transit (URT) operations. Passenger demand has a hierarchical structure in which origin-destination (OD) flows aggregate to station-level inflows and outflows through conservation constraints. In practice, station-level and OD-level forecasts are often generated independently, producing incoherent predictions that violate these constraints and introduce inconsistencies into operational...