Physical Climate Change
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Related Articles from SNS
Strong El Niño likely this year, climate change could intensify extreme weather: WMO
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) on Tuesday warned of a likely return of a strong El Niño event this year, raising concerns about more extreme weather worldwide as climate change amplifies its effects, Reuters reported. The UN weather body said there is an 80% chance of El Niño developing between June and August and a 90% probability that it will persist until at least November, marking the clearest indication yet of the weather phenomenon's return. El Niño occurs every 2 to 7...
Probabilistic storyline attribution using machine learning
arXiv:2606.02550v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A fundamental goal in climate attribution is to estimate how forced climate change contributes to observed extreme weather events. The storyline attribution method compares an observed weather event, conditional on its atmospheric dynamic state (i.e., atmospheric circulation), in the current, 'factual' climate to an event with very similar circulation conditions in a hypothetical, 'counterfactual' climate.
Amplified Arctic iceberg traffic reshapes benthic biodiversity
Abstract The Arctic is undergoing rapid warming, resulting in retreating sea ice and glaciers1, yet how cryospheric changes propagate into the deep ocean remains poorly understood2. Here we identify a climate-driven mechanism linking accelerating glacier disintegration to an increase in deep-sea hard-bottom habitats far beyond calving fronts. Seafloor observations in Fram Strait show a localized increase in the density and patchiness of dropstones delivered by debris-laden icebergs.
School in a hot world: What research is saying about children's health and learning
School in a hot world: What research is saying about children's health and learning Lisa Lock Scientific Editor Andrew Zinin Lead Editor Climate change is making southern Africa hotter. While much attention has focused on climate impacts such as droughts, floods and food insecurity, another crisis is unfolding quietly inside classrooms. Research has shown that some schools are becoming dangerously hot places for children to develop, learn and play.
Visa problems shut poorest countries out of crucial UN climate talks in Bonn
Visa problems shut poorest countries out of crucial UN climate talks in Bonn Several of the world’s poorest and most climate vulnerable countries say their negotiating abilities will be hurt at talks in Germany this month due to their delegates being unable to obtain visas - Bookmark - CommentsGo to comments Obstacles around obtaining visas will shut some of the world’s poorest and most climate-vulnerable countries out of crucial UN climate talks that are taking place in Germany this month,...
Who gets a seat at the table? UN climate talks slammed over visa delays and shrinking civic space
Climate activists and members of the press are facing unprecedented barriers to one of the most important environmental conferences of the year. All eyes are on the German city of Bonn this week, as delegates from around the world gather for one of the biggest environmental conferences of the year. The 64th session of the Subsidiary Bodies (SB64) of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCC) is the first major negotiating session since COP30 in Belém, where almost 200...
FLAME: Physics-Guided Neural Operators for Onboard Satellite Methane Detection in Hyperspectral Imagery
arXiv:2606.01577v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Methane is a major driver of near-term climate change, and rapidly identifying its emission sources is a critical climate intervention. Spaceborne hyperspectral imagery is the primary tool for this task, but the volume of data produced by each sensor makes ground-based detection impractical and necessitates onboard detection. Classical methods incur prohibitive computational cost on onboard hardware, while deep learning models are fast but fall...
A mathematical framework for dynamic emergent constraints in climate science
Announce Type: new Abstract: Emergent constraints in climate science are empirical relations that link the response to a forcing of a physical observable to the properties of other observables, with the aim of reducing climate change projection uncertainties. Here we use recent results in linear response theory to develop a mathematical framework for dynamic emergent constraints, a class of emergent constraints linking the response of different observables to the same forcing. We show how...
Multiscale Decomposition Reveals Predictable Interannual Variability and Climate Trends in Antarctic Sea Ice Loss
Announce Type: replace Abstract: Antarctic sea ice has undergone unprecedented changes in recent years, raising questions about how this key geophysical system is responding to climate change. Decades of slow expansion were replaced by a precipitous decline in 2014-2017, a subsequent apparent recovery, and a renewed collapse from 2022 to the present. We diagnosed sea ice concentration (SIC) from satellite observations with a hierarchical decomposition method based on Dynamic Mode...
Atmospheric Methane Removal as a Third Climate Intervention: Termination Risks and Air Pollutant Effects
Physics > Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics [Submitted on 24 Jan 2026 (v1), last revised 29 May 2026 (this version, v3)] Title:Atmospheric Methane Removal as a Third Climate Intervention: Termination Risks and Air Pollutant Effects View PDFAbstract:Atmospheric Methane Removal (AMR) is a third class of climate intervention, along with Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) and Solar Radiation Management (SRM). We show that, unlike CDR, the avoided warming by AMR is not durable due to methane's short...