Selector, Predictor
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Related Articles from SNS
Learning to Adapt: Self-Improving Web Agent via Cognitive-Aware Exploration
arXiv:2605.31365v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Recent advances in Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) have led to promising progress in web agents. However, existing web agents often rely on handcrafted execution pipelines or expensive expert trajectories, limiting their adaptability to complex, dynamic environments. To address these challenges, we propose SCALE (Self-Cognitive-Aware Learning and Exploration), which leverages three adversarial roles, Selector, Predictor, and Judger to...
When Offline Selectors Cannot Beat the Best Single Model: A Diagnostic Study on edX Dropout Prediction
arXiv:2606.04161v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Different predictors often excel on different inputs, so picking the best one per instance promises higher accuracy than committing to a single model. In practice, selectors trained from logged data routinely fail to beat the strongest single predictor. Three causes typically go unseparated before more tuning is applied: a mismatched learner, a state that does not predict which model wins, or buffer-to-deployment label shift.
Report the Floor: A Training-Free Conformal Interval Is a Mandatory Baseline for Probabilistic Time-Series Forecasting
arXiv:2606.09473v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Probabilistic forecasters are increasingly learned, yet the baselines they are compared against are often weak or omitted. We show that the simplest possible conformal interval - a last-value point forecast wrapped in a finite-sample split-conformal residual quantile, with no parameters and no training - is a far stronger baseline than its near-total absence from recent learned-forecasting and conformal-time-series comparisons would suggest....