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Stationarity-Aware Retrieval-Augmented Time Series Forecasting

Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting relies on historical patterns, but real-world series often exhibit non-stationarity and regime shifts that challenge fully parametric forecasters. Inspired by Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG), recent work augments forecasters by retrieving relevant historical segments and using them as external evidence at inference time. However, due to the intrinsic non-stationarity of real-world time series, a highly similar past segment does not...

arXiv CS 6d ago

Bellman Residual Minimization for Control: Geometry, Stationarity, and Convergence

arXiv:2601.18840v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Markov decision problems are most commonly solved via dynamic programming. Another approach is Bellman residual minimization, which directly minimizes the squared Bellman residual objective function. However, compared to dynamic programming, this approach has received relatively less attention, mainly because it is often less efficient in practice and can be more difficult to extend to model-free settings such as reinforcement learning.

arXiv CS 1d ago

Scalable Reinforcement Learning via Adaptive Batch Scaling

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arXiv CS 5d ago

DRAN: A Distribution and Relation Adaptive Network for Spatio-temporal Forecasting

arXiv:2504.01531v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Accurate predictions of spatio-temporal systems are crucial for tasks such as system management, control, and crisis prevention. However, the inherent time variance of many spatio-temporal systems poses challenges to achieving accurate predictions whenever stationarity is not granted. In order to address non-stationarity, we propose a Distribution and Relation Adaptive Network (DRAN) capable of dynamically adapting to relation and...

arXiv CS 7d ago

FreqLite: A Lightweight Frequency-Decomposed Linear Model with Adaptive Reversible Normalization for Robust Long-Term Time-Series Forecasting

arXiv:2606.01339v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Long-term time-series forecasting needs models that are accurate yet efficient enough for commodity hardware. Lightweight linear forecasters are remarkably strong in this regime, yet they leave two openings: reversible instance normalization (RevIN) de-normalizes the entire horizon with a single lookback statistic, which is inaccurate under non-stationarity, and time-domain trend/seasonal decomposition relies on a fixed, non-adaptive filter. We...

arXiv CS 8d ago

Stable Deep Reinforcement Learning via Isotropic Gaussian Representations

arXiv:2602.19373v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Deep reinforcement learning systems often suffer from unstable training dynamics due to non-stationarity, where learning objectives and data distributions evolve over time. We show that under non-stationary targets, isotropic Gaussian embeddings are provably advantageous. In particular, they induce stable tracking of time-varying targets for linear readouts, achieve maximal entropy under a fixed variance budget, and encourage a balanced use...

arXiv CS 5d ago

MSTN: A Lightweight and Fast Model for General TimeSeries Analysis

arXiv:2511.20577v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Real-world time series often exhibit strong non-stationarity, complex nonlinear dynamics, and behavior expressed across multiple temporal scales, from rapid local fluctuations to slow-evolving long-range trends. However, many contemporary architectures impose rigid, fixed-scale structural priors such as patch-based tokenization, predefined receptive fields, or frozen backbone encoders - which can over-regularize temporal dynamics and limit...

arXiv CS 5d ago

EVA-Net: Subject-Independent EEG Motor Decoding with Video-Derived Motor Priors

Announce Type: new Abstract: Practical non-invasive Brain-Computer Interface (BCI) systems require EEG decoders with strong cross-subject generalization and minimal calibration. However, inter-subject variability and signal non-stationarity often entangle motor semantics with subject-specific noise, limiting subject-independent decoding. Recent multimodal approaches use text as a semantic anchor, yet text provides sparse and static supervision for inherently dynamic motor processes.

arXiv CS 8d ago

A variational formulation of the adjoint Kutta condition in potential flow

arXiv:2606.06937v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We give a variational formulation of the continuous adjoint Kutta condition for two-dimensional subcritical potential flow, with emphasis on the Kutta condition and the role of the wake. We show that the adjoint Kutta condition can be imposed by a penalty term evaluated at the trailing edge, with the corresponding Lagrange multiplier determined by stationarity of the Lagrangian with respect to circulation, and that a wake treatment is not...

arXiv Physics 2d ago

Identifiable Markov Switching Models with Instantaneous Effects and Exponential Families

arXiv:2606.02231v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Temporal systems often exhibit non-stationary behaviour, such as seasonal climate variation or glucose fluctuations in patients with type-1 diabetes. One way to model non-stationarity is through discrete latent regimes, i.e., stationary segments of time. Such systems induce a Markov Switching Model (MSM), a class of Hidden Markov Models with autoregressive dependencies among latent regimes and observed variables.

arXiv CS 8d ago