Temporal Causal
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Related Articles from SNS
TempoBench: Evaluating Temporal Causal Reasoning in Large Language Models
arXiv:2510.27544v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Temporal reasoning involves understanding how systems evolve over time through input-driven state transitions. A key aspect is temporal causal reasoning, causally reasoning about what prior inputs were necessary in causing an observed outcome. While large language models (LLMs) perform well at forward simulation, predicting outputs from inputs, they struggle to identify the minimal causal inputs of outcomes.
Learning Temporal Causal Structure via Smooth Differentiable Optimization
arXiv:2606.03227v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal discovery with instantaneous effects in multivariate time series is challenging, as the instantaneous structure must be acyclic. Prior methods enforce this by either separating instantaneous and lagged estimation into multi-stage pipelines or imposing algebraic acyclicity constraints via complex augmented Lagrangian optimization, both of which incur high computational cost.
CA-TCN: A Causal-Anticausal Temporal Convolutional Network for Direct Auditory Attention Decoding
Announce Type: replace Abstract: A promising approach for steering auditory attention in complex listening environments relies on Auditory Attention Decoding (AAD), which aim to identify the attended speech stream in a multiple speaker scenario from neural recordings. Entrainment-based AAD approaches, typically assume access to clean speech sources and electroencephalography (EEG) signals to exploit low-frequency correlations between the neural response and the attended stimulus. In this...
Scalable Temporal Anomaly Causality Discovery in Large Systems: Achieving Computational Efficiency with Binary Anomaly Flag Data
arXiv:2412.11800v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Extracting anomaly causality facilitates diagnostics once monitoring systems detect system faults. Identifying anomaly causes in large systems involves investigating a broader set of monitoring variables across multiple subsystems. However, learning graphical causal models (GCMs) comes with a significant computational burden that restrains the applicability of most existing methods in real-time and large-scale deployments.
Beyond Probabilistic Similarity: Structural, Temporal, and Causal Limitations of Retrieval-Augmented Generation in the Legal Domain
Announce Type: new Abstract: Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) has become a standard architectural response to unreliability in legal AI, yet high-profile failures, including fabricated citations submitted to courts and anachronistic legal content presented as current, continue to appear across jurisdictions. We argue that these failures are not residual confabulations to be eliminated by scaling language models, but symptoms of an architectural mismatch between probabilistic retrieval...
CausalPOI: Spatio-Temporal Graph-Based Causal Modeling for Cold-Start POI Check-in Forecasting
arXiv:2606.05413v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: As urban environments continue to evolve rapidly, accurately modeling the dynamic behaviour of Points of Interest is essential for supporting data-driven urban planning and commercial decision-making. While recent advancements in spatio-temporal graph learning have improved POI forecasting, most methods rely on proximity-based graphs and correlation-driven modeling, which overlook the functional dependencies between POIs and fail to capture the...
Trio: Learning Time-Series Forecasting with Temporal-Spatial-Sample Attention and Structural Causal Priors
arXiv:2606.07291v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multivariate time-series forecasting requires models to reason over temporal dynamics, cross-variable dependencies, and historical input-output correspondences. Recent Prior-Data Fitted Networks (PFNs) suggest that synthetic tasks can be useful for learning transferable inference behavior. However, directly transferring this paradigm to time-series forecasting remains difficult, since temporal order, dynamic lags, and recurring historical...
Reinforcing Temporal Answer Grounding in Instructional Video via Candidate-Aware Causal Reasoning
Announce Type: new Abstract: The task of temporal answer grounding in instructional video (TAGV), which aims to locate precise video segments that respond to natural language queries, is increasingly important for direct video answer retrieval. This task remains challenging due to the need to comprehend semantically complex questions and to address the significant length mismatch between untrimmed videos and short target moments. Existing methods often suffer from sensitivity to irrelevant...
Cluster-Aware Causal Mixer for Online Anomaly Detection in Multivariate Time Series
arXiv:2506.00188v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Early and accurate detection of anomalies in time-series data is critical due to the substantial risks associated with false or missed detections. While MLP-based mixer models have shown promise in time-series analysis, they do not maintain temporal causality during data processing. Moreover, real-world multivariate time series often contain numerous channels with diverse inter-channel correlations.
Learning General Causal Structures with Hidden Dynamic Process for Climate Analysis
arXiv:2501.12500v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Understanding climate dynamics requires going beyond correlations in observational data to uncover the underlying causal process. Latent drivers such as atmospheric processes play a central role in temporal dynamics, while direct causal influences also exist among geographically proximate observed variables. Traditional Causal Representation Learning (CRL) typically focuses on latent factors but overlooks such observable-to-observable...