Time series
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Related Articles from SNS
Amortized Predictability-aware Training Framework for Time Series Forecasting and Classification
arXiv:2602.16224v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time series data are prone to noise in various domains, and training samples may contain low-predictability patterns that deviate from the normal data distribution, leading to training instability or convergence to poor local minima. Therefore, mitigating the adverse effects of low-predictability samples is crucial for time series analysis tasks such as time series forecasting (TSF) and time series classification (TSC).
Amortized Predictability-aware Training Framework for Time Series Forecasting and Classification
arXiv:2602.16224v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time series data are prone to noise in various domains, and training samples may contain low-predictability patterns that deviate from the normal data distribution, leading to training instability or convergence to poor local minima. Therefore, mitigating the adverse effects of low-predictability samples is crucial for time series analysis tasks such as time series forecasting (TSF) and time series classification (TSC).
Benchmarking Counterfactual Prediction in Epidemic Time Series with Time-Varying Interventions
arXiv:2606.05692v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Deep learning has enabled significant advances in time-series causal inference, yet progress remains constrained by the lack of realistic benchmarks with observable counterfactual outcomes. Existing datasets either rely on real-world observations without ground-truth counterfactuals or on simplified simulations that fail to capture complex causal dynamics. To address this gap, we develop a large-scale benchmark for counterfactual prediction in...
Learning Hyperspherical Time-Frequency Representations for Time-Series Out-of-Distribution Detection
arXiv:2605.31155v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection for time-series data remains comparatively underexplored compared to vision and language, with a limited principled understanding of how supervised time-series representations can be leveraged for reliable detection under distributional shifts. This work formulates time-series OOD detection as representation learning with hyperspherical embeddings, where class-conditional structure is induced by a von...
It's TIME: Towards the Next Generation of Time Series Forecasting Benchmarks
Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time series foundation models (TSFMs) are revolutionizing the forecasting landscape from specific dataset modeling to generalizable task evaluation. However, we contend that existing benchmarks exhibit common limitations in four dimensions: constrained data composition dominated by reused legacy sources, compromised data integrity lacking rigorous quality assurance, misaligned task formulations detached from real-world contexts, and rigid analysis...
TS-ICL: A Flexible Time-Indexed Foundation Model for Time Series via In-Context Learning
arXiv:2606.05878v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Foundation models mark a profound paradigm shift in time series modeling, with task-specific models being superseded by general-purpose zero-shot models. Yet, current approaches primarily focus on forecasting, while real-world time series are often irregularly and partially observed, requiring models that can jointly forecast, impute missing values, and handle degraded sampling conditions. To address these challenges, we introduce TS-ICL, a...
AnomSeer: Reinforcing Multimodal LLMs to Reason for Time-Series Anomaly Detection
arXiv:2602.08868v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time-series anomaly detection (TSAD) with multimodal large language models (MLLMs) is an emerging area, yet a persistent challenge remains: MLLMs rely on coarse time-series heuristics but struggle with multi-dimensional, detailed reasoning, which is vital for understanding complex time-series data. We present AnomSeer to address this by reinforcing the model to ground its reasoning in precise, structural details of time series, unifying...
Adaptive Time Series Reasoning via Segment Selection
arXiv:2602.18645v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time series reasoning tasks often start with a natural language question and require targeted analysis of a time series. Evidence may span the full series or appear in a few short intervals, so the model must decide what to inspect. Most existing approaches encode the entire time series into a fixed representation before inference, regardless of whether or not the entire sequence is relevant.
TimeSage-MT: A Multi-Turn Benchmark for Evaluating Agentic Time Series Reasoning
Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series data inform critical decisions across many real-world domains. While large language model (LLM) agents can analyze data through natural language and tools, it remains unclear whether they can conduct reliable time series analysis across multi-turn conversations. Existing benchmarks focus on single-step tasks such as forecasting and anomaly detection, overlooking practical workflows where user goals evolve, agents must build on prior analyses, and...
Stationarity-Aware Retrieval-Augmented Time Series Forecasting
Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting relies on historical patterns, but real-world series often exhibit non-stationarity and regime shifts that challenge fully parametric forecasters. Inspired by Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG), recent work augments forecasters by retrieving relevant historical segments and using them as external evidence at inference time. However, due to the intrinsic non-stationarity of real-world time series, a highly similar past segment does not...