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Cost of Manipulation in AMM-Based Oracles

arXiv:2606.03548v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study the robustness of AMM-based on-chain price oracles to strategic manipulation. An attacker trades against constant product automated market makers (CPMMs) to distort an on-chain oracle, arbitrageurs restore cross-pool and cross-venue consistency, and an oracle designer chooses how to aggregate pool quotes. Taking an efficient-market-hypothesis (EMH) view of the off-chain "true" price, we define the \emph{cost of manipulation} as the...

arXiv CS 7d ago

Signals and Spoils: Speculative Oracle Extractable Value in the Era of Cross-Chain Interoperability

Announce Type: new Abstract: A new form of Maximal Extractable Value (MEV), termed speculative MEV, has emerged across Layer-2 blockchains. Unlike Ethereum mainnet, many Layer-2 systems lack a public mempool, forcing extraction strategies to become probabilistic: searchers emit multiple identical transactions hoping to capture an opportunity first. This generates substantial transaction spam, increasing fees and wasting block space.

arXiv CS 7d ago

When Certainty Is Not Worth It: Capital Lock-Up and Settlement Discounting in Prediction Markets

Announce Type: new Abstract: Collateralized prediction markets are contingent-claim markets in which economic uncertainty can disappear before winning claims become redeemable. This paper studies the pricing effect of that delay. When collateral remains locked until oracle settlement, a near-certain dollar is a delayed dollar, so prices embed a maturity-dependent settlement discount in addition to beliefs about outcomes.

arXiv CS 9d ago

Analysis:Software stocks bounce back - now comes the hard part

Analysis:Software stocks bounce back - now comes the hard part June 3 : Software stocks have rebounded from a punishing selloff as investors are betting that AI may boost the sector rather than leaving it for dead. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF has surged nearly 42 per cent from its April low, turning fears that AI would rip the heart out of the industry into hopes that software firms will enlist AI as a valuable ally. The software ETF is down under 2 per cent for 2026 after...

Channel News Asia 7d ago

Jim Cramer's top 10 things to watch in the stock market Monday

My top 10 things to watch Monday, June 8 1. The S & P 500 and Nasdaq are headed for higher opens as chipmakers rebounded following Friday's brutal selloff . Club holdings Nvidia and Broadcom are jumping nearly 2.5% and 3.3%, respectively.

CNBC 2d ago

Oracle founder Larry Ellison loses more than $47 billion in less than 7 days

Larry Ellison has lost more than $47 billion in personal wealth in less than a week as shares of Oracle continued to fall ahead of the company's earnings report. Ellison's fortune dropped from about $296 billion last Tuesday, June 2 to around $249.7 billion, according to Forbes' Real-Time Billionaires List. The fall comes as investors pull back from technology and AI-related stocks, leading to a broader selloff across the sector.

Times of India 12h ago

Here are the 6 big things we're watching in the stock market this week

Earnings season for Club names has come to an end, but that doesn't mean the excitement has. This coming week is packed with market-moving inflation data and two key corporate events. Apple's Worldwide Developers Conference starts its five-day run on Monday, and Apple is expected to raise the curtain on a new, conversational Siri assistant, powered by Google's powerful Gemini artificial intelligence model.

CNBC 3d ago

Two reasons for optimism after Tuesday's whipsaw market sell-off

With CPI inflation data in the morning and software giant Oracle reporting earnings after the bell, Wednesday presents a big test for a U.S. stock market trying to find its footing after its worst day in a year and a nail-biting whipsaw session on Tuesday. There's reason for optimism, judging by bullish options flows around stocks that do better when interest-rates stay lower, and call-buyers who are prepared for the biggest move in Oracle since Covid. First, inflation: despite economists...

CNBC 7h ago

Intel Diamond Rapids to boost core counts to 192, but RIP Hyperthreading

Intel’s upcoming Diamond Rapids Xeon will boost core counts to 192, a 50 percent increase over last generation, the x86 giant revealed at Computex in Taipei this week. But while core counts continue to rise, in doing so Intel has managed to cut thread counts by a quarter. Yep, Hyperthreading – Intel's marketing for simultaneous multithreading – is officially dead.

The Register 9d ago

As AI-related stocks dive, the market's winners have one thing in common

Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Stocks are falling hard on Friday , likely putting an end to the S & P 500 's 9-week win streak. After driving the market's gains for the past several months, technology and AI infrastructure stocks sold off sharply, sending the Nasdaq down about 3% and marking its worst day since October.

CNBC 5d ago