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Kalshi adds required employment verification for some prediction market bets
The CFTC is considering its first regulation for prediction markets, as arrests over "insider trading" on everything from military operations to Google Search data continue to stack up. As CoinDesk reports, a notice of proposed rulemaking says "the proposal would establish a structured framework for evaluating whether such contracts involve an activity enumerated in Section 5c(c)(5)(C) of the Commodity Exchange Act -activity that involves terrorism, assassination, war, gaming, or conduct...
Regulators' proposed prediction markets rules ban trading on terrorism, assassinations
Federal regulators came out with their first proposed rules on how to oversee prediction markets on Wednesday. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which has taken the lead as the federal regulator over the markets, will seek to develop a framework to determine if contracts are contrary to the public interest and illegal. Those questions surround contracts that relate to terrorism, assassinations, war, gaming or illegal conduct under state and or federal law, based on the Commodity...
Bitcoin falls to $61,000, down more than 25% this month as long-term holders sell
Bitcoin has fallen to its lowest level since February, dropping more than 25% this month, as long-term holders liquidate billions in holdings and efforts to advance US crypto regulation face uncertainty in Washington. Bitcoin's slide deepened on Wednesday, with the price dropping as low as $61,300 for the first time since February, extending one of the most turbulent periods for the world's largest cryptocurrency this year. The price is down more than 25% from its high earlier this month and...
Iran's threats against this Red Sea chokepoint are a big vulnerability for the oil market
President Donald Trump faces the risk that Iran will close the Bab el-Mandeb Strait if the conflict in the Middle East escalates, a scenario that would slash oil supplies to an already deeply disrupted market. The Bab el-Mandeb is one of the world's key trade chokepoints, connecting the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden and Arabian Sea. It has acted as crucial relief valve for the oil market as exports through the Strait of Hormuz have plunged due to Iranian attacks on tanker and cargo ships.
How to protect your wealth when rupee is falling
The rupee is falling and your investment portfolio is bleeding red. India may be a fundamentally strong growth story, but for now your investments may be flashing negative returns. As the impact of the US-Iran conflict rips through an economy dependent on fuel imports, the currency has seen a rapid fall requiring RBI's frequent interventions.
‘Unpatriotic’: Trump decries Republicans who voted to constrain Iran war
‘Unpatriotic’: Trump decries Republicans who voted to constrain Iran war Trump takes aim at lawmakers after the US House passes war powers resolution, while advocates call on the Senate to advance the measure. United States President Donald Trump has condemned lawmakers, including members of his Republican Party, for voting in favour of a resolution to rein in his ability to wage war with Iran. The statement on Thursday came a day after the US House of Representatives passed a so-called war...
The back-channel bid to go soft on Maduro
When Marco Rubio was named secretary of State, many in both South Florida Republican circles and the American energy industry exulted. But one man who bridged both worlds knew he had a problem. A longtime investor in Venezuela, the main source of crude oil needed to produce the asphalt that had made his family rich, Harry Sargeant III kept relations with top officials in Caracas even as they seized most foreign oil holdings.
China is helping to cushion global oil prices below $100 — but analysts warn it won’t last
A rapid reduction in Chinese crude imports has helped stop oil from trading even higher since the outbreak of the U.S.-Iran war — but analysts warn that price rises will be needed as market balance is gradually restored. The Middle East conflict has entered its 100th day — but fears of a $200-per-barrel spike have failed to materialize, despite global crude supplies tumbling 14% since hostilities began on Feb. 28. Market strategists say China is acting as a key pressure valve on energy...
‘Red meat is a dream’: Iran inflation hits highest level since World War II
‘Red meat is a dream’: Iran inflation hits highest level since World War II The war with the US is not the only factor driving prices skywards. Tehran, Iran – In the popular Bastan market in the west of the Iranian capital, where the inviting smell of fresh bread and fruit mingle with the sight of colourful fabrics and clothing, the scene no longer holds its usual joy. Passersby wander among the vendors’ stalls, carefully turning goods over only to return them to their places.
The Lag Between an Iran Deal and Lower Oil Prices
This is an edition of The Atlantic Daily, a newsletter that guides you through the biggest stories of the day, helps you discover new ideas, and recommends the best in culture. Sign up for it here.For months, Donald Trump has been desperate for Iran to loosen its grip on the Strait of Hormuz. Now he says it’s happening; a deal to reopen the waterway “has been largely negotiated,” per a Truth Social post on Saturday.