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Parameter-Free and Group Conditional Online Conformal Prediction

arXiv:2606.00419v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is critical for the deployment of machine learning predictors in real-world scenarios where the data distribution may shift over time (i.e., data may not be exchangeable). Online conformal prediction (OCP) methods address this issue at the expense of either (i) group-wise error control or (ii) learning-rate independent implementation. Group-conditional coverage is essential for fairness across different...

arXiv CS 8d ago

Parameter-Free and Group Conditional Online Conformal Prediction

arXiv:2606.00419v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is critical for the deployment of machine learning predictors in real-world scenarios where the data distribution may shift over time (i.e., data may not be exchangeable). Online conformal prediction (OCP) methods address this issue at the expense of either (i) group-wise error control or (ii) learning-rate independent implementation. Group-conditional coverage is essential for fairness across different...

arXiv CS 1d ago

Parameter-Free and Group Conditional Online Conformal Prediction

Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is critical for the deployment of machine learning predictors in real-world scenarios where the data distribution may shift over time (i.e., data may not be exchangeable). Online conformal prediction (OCP) methods address this issue at the expense of either (i) group-wise error control or (ii) learning-rate independent implementation.

arXiv CS 7d ago

Measuring the Symmetry--Data Exchange Rate

arXiv:2606.01090v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Equivariance theory predicts that an architectural symmetry prior reduces sample complexity by a factor of |G|; this is widely cited but rarely measured as a scaling law with controls that separate the prior from its confounds. On a controlled C_n-symmetric task, we report three findings. First, a wrong-group control with identical orbit size and matched compute is worse than no constraint (joint pairwise CI [+0.79, +3.26] excludes zero,...

arXiv CS 8d ago

Stamp duty reform urged as MPs warn of tax 'damage'

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Daily Mirror 1d ago

Do covariates explain why these groups differ? The choice of reference group can reverse conclusions in the Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition

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arXiv CS 9d ago

When Built-in Thinking Helps and Hurts: Constraint-Level Error Shifts in Instruction Following

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arXiv CS 1d ago

TAGA: A Tangent-Based Reactive Approach for Socially Compliant Robot Navigation Around Human Groups

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arXiv CS 9d ago

5 ways IBC transformed India's corporate rescue system over the past decade

Ten years ago, India's insolvency landscape was defined by stalled projects, endless litigation, weak recoveries and mounting bad loans. Companies remained trapped in legal limbo for years, banks struggled to recover dues, and distressed assets steadily lost value as cases moved through multiple forums. The Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC), enacted in 2016, was designed to change that.

Times of India 4d ago

Q&A: Why are white-Black marriage rates so low?

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Phys.org 3d ago