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Changes to publication dates of the Decision Maker Panel data and Agents’ summary of business conditions
We are changing the publication dates of the Decision Maker Panel and Agents’ summary of business conditions so that they no longer fall on the same day as publication of the Monetary Policy Report
Hot jobs report puts Fed cuts further out of reach as Chair Warsh faces policy tests
Another big jobs report in May has pretty much swept aside the possibility of interest rate cuts anytime soon — and in the process underscored the tricky policy path ahead for new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh. The chance of rate reductions already had been on life support heading into Friday's nonfarm payrolls report. But the unexpectedly strong gain of 172,000, compounded by sharp upward revisions for prior months, makes the case for policy easing even weaker, particularly considering...
Like Indonesia, India's central bank may hike rates to defend its currency
India's central bank may defy expectations that it will leave its benchmark interest rate unchanged during its monetary policy decision meeting on Friday. The majority of economists polled by CNBC expect the Reserve Bank of India to keep rates unchanged at 5.25% while signaling a rate hike may only occur towards the end of the year. A minority expect policymakers to act at this week's meeting in a bid to anchor the rupee, which has depreciated to record lows against the dollar.
RBI MPC may hike inflation forecast, trim growth rate
While the majority of forecasters and market participants expect Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee meeting to vote for a status quo on interest rates, the forthcoming MPC statement on June 5 will be observed minutely. With disruptions owing to the West Asia conflict now approaching 100 days, this is no longer a short-term disturbance that the central bank can look through. It will now have to factor in the impact of the crisis into its growth and inflation forecasts.
Will India finally get plastic banknotes? RBI's polymer currency plan explained
NEW DELHI: Reserve Bank of India Governor Sanjay Malhotra on Friday said the central bank is considering a proposal to introduce polymer currency notes in India, though the idea remains at a preliminary stage and no final decision has been taken yet. Addressing the media after the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, Malhotra said, "Polymer note is under consideration. We are examining the pros and cons.
OECD cuts 2026 global growth forecast and warns of recession risk if Iran war persists
The war in the Middle East has dented economic growth prospects worldwide, with a more severe shock likely if no effective ceasefire is agreed before 2027, the OECD warned Wednesday. The OECD has downgraded its global growth outlook, warning that rising energy prices, geopolitical tensions and persistent inflation are weighing on the world economy and could push several countries into recession if disruptions continue. In its quarterly update, the organisation, which represents 38...
As AI-related stocks dive, the market's winners have one thing in common
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Stocks are falling hard on Friday , likely putting an end to the S & P 500 's 9-week win streak. After driving the market's gains for the past several months, technology and AI infrastructure stocks sold off sharply, sending the Nasdaq down about 3% and marking its worst day since October.
Japan's Q1 capex growth stalls as Iran war weighs, raising GDP downgrade risk
Japan's Q1 capex growth stalls as Iran war weighs, raising GDP downgrade risk TOKYO, June 1 : Japanese companies' pace of annual spending on plant and equipment stalled in the first quarter after a year of strong expansion, likely prompting a downgrade to economic growth as concerns mount over the impact of the Middle East conflict. The Iran war has upended the global economic outlook, leaving oil-import-dependent Japan heavily exposed to the energy shock rippling across businesses and...
May inflation is expected to have jumped as the Iran war sent prices higher
Inflation is likely to have increased for a third straight month in May as the war with Iran sent energy prices higher and ratcheted up pressure on U.S. consumers. The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index for last month will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET Wednesday. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones expect it will show the annual rate of inflation hit 4.2%, well above the 2.4% level it hit before the war and its highest point since early 2023.
Cost of conflict: US inflation hits 3-year high as Iran war fuels energy shock
US inflation climbed to a fresh three-year high in May, driven largely by rising energy prices linked to global supply disruptions following the Iran conflict, according to official data released on Wednesday. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 4.2% in May compared to a year earlier, up from 3.8% in April, the US labour department said. It marked the third straight monthly increase and the highest level since April 2023.